Texans At Colts Spread, Odds, Picks And Trends: Expert Predictions For NFL Week 6 Game

Monday night’s loss to the Ravens will likely sting worse than any of the Colts’ previous losses this season. Indianapolis led Baltimore by 19 late in the third quarter before Lamar Jackson led the Ravens to touchdowns on their final four drives, including the game-winning possession in overtime. The Colts had two chances to put Baltimore away, but Rodrigo Blankenship had one field goal blocked and missed another as time expired in regulation. One positive to take from the loss was Carson Wentz, who finally looked healthy as he threw for 402 yards and two scores. Ahead of Monday’s loss, the Colts opened as 10.5-point favorites this week.

Houston dropped its fourth straight game in a 25-22 home loss to the Patriots. But there are a lot of positives to take from that game. The Texans showed some impressive resilience after being blown out by 40 a week earlier. More importantly, last week was the first glimpse of Davis Mills’ long-term potential. After Houston scored two total touchdowns in his first 10 quarters of play, Mills threw for three scores and finished with 312 passing yards. Picking the upset here might not be practical, but the line is a different story. The Texans are 3-2 against the spread.

Odds, Over/Under, Moneyline

TeamSpreadTotalMoneyline
Texans+475
Colts-1144.5-650

All odds from BetMGM. Odds updated at 12:55 p.m. Sunday. Click here for live odds.

img src="https://cdn.theathletic.com/app/uploads/2021/09/30155308/Betting_Inline_CTA_3-200.png" alt=""">

Betting Trends

  • ML moved from Colts -650 to Colts -500
  • 92 percent of money bet on over the total
  • 60 percent of money bet on Colts’ ML

Click here to learn more about The Athletic’s FREE betting contest with BetPrep.

  • The Colts are 4-1 ATS against the Texans in their last 5 games
  • The Colts are 2-4-1 ATS against the Texans at home in their last 7 games
  • The Colts are 1-4 ATS at home in their last 5 games
  • The Colts are 1-5 ATS as home favorites in their last 6 games
  • The Over is 5-2 in Texans games in their last 7 games
  • The Texans are 5-2 ATS as underdogs in their last 7 games
  • The Texans are 2-14 as underdogs in their last 16 games

Notable inactives

Texans: OT Laremy Tunsil

Colts: S Andrew Sendejo

Storylines for Texans-Colts

Houston Texans news

Rookie Davis Mills had the best game of his young career in Week 5 as he became the first rookie ever to pass for at least 300 yards, three touchdowns and have a passer rating of at least 140 when he completed 74.4 percent of his passes for 312 yards and three touchdowns in the 25-22 loss to the Patriots. He continues to find receiver Brandin Cooks, who’s caught at least five passes in four out of the Texans’ five games.

Indianapolis Colts news

The Colts have played better in recent weeks thanks to Jonathan Taylor who’s had at least 100 yards from scrimmage in his last two games. Taylor had a season-high 169 yards from scrimmage and two touchdowns in Week 5. Wentz had a career-high 402 yards and posted a career-best 128.5 passer rating in Monday night’s loss to the Ravens. Wentz has had a passer rating of at least 115 in his last two games. Darius Leonard has a fumble recovery in each of the Colts’ past three games.

Expert picks

WriterStraight Up Pick
Tashan Reed Colts
Nick Kosmider Colts
Jay Morrison Colts
Mark Kaboly Texans
Michael-Shawn Dugar Colts
Chris Burke Colts
Ben Standig Colts
Katherine Terrell Colts
Ted Nguyen Colts

More NFL Expert Picks

(Photo of Davis Mills: Julio Aguilar / Getty Images; The Athletic may receive an affiliate commission if you open an account with BetMGM through links contained in the above article.)

Source : https://theathletic.com/2775579/2021/10/16/texans-at-colts-spread-odds-picks-and-trends-expert-predictions-for-nfl-week-6-game/

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